National Technical Working Group · Kenya

Anticipatory Action.

Predict Prepare Protect
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40% Reduction in Livestock Loss 15+ Active Action Protocols 30+ Partner Organisations $1 : $7 Return on Investment 72h Trigger-to-Cash 47 Counties Covered TWG Established 2022 40% Reduction in Livestock Loss 15+ Active Action Protocols 30+ Partner Organisations $1 : $7 Return on Investment 72h Trigger-to-Cash 47 Counties Covered TWG Established 2022
ASAL Communities
Pastoralist community in Kenya's arid lands
Kenya's arid and semi-arid lands are home to pastoralist communities most vulnerable to recurring drought and flood cycles.
23M
People in ASAL Counties
What We Do

Act beforethe crisis hits.

Anticipatory Action delivers targeted interventions — cash, livestock support, health services — based on hazard forecasts before a disaster fully unfolds. When triggers are met, action is immediate, pre-agreed, and funded.

Kenya's AA programme, coordinated by NDOC and KRCS through a national Technical Working Group, has proven this approach is not only feasible — it's far more cost-effective than emergency response after the fact.

01

Forecast Triggers

Linked to KMD, NDMA and ICPAC probability thresholds. No political delay.

02

Pre-Agreed Protocols

Every intervention defined in advance — who, what, when, and funded by what.

03

7-Pillar Framework

Full-cycle coverage from early warning to monitoring and evaluation.

04

47 Counties

National scope with county-level focal points and coordination.

Programme Impact

Anticipation in action
2024 results.

Kenya's AA programme consistently demonstrates that pre-emptive action is more humane, more equitable, and significantly cheaper than emergency response. Filter by hazard to see the breakdown.

People Reached (cumulative)
189K 1.4M 2.1M 2022 2023 2024
People Reached
2.1M
People supported through anticipatory action protocols in 2024.
Activations
15+
Live protocols activated across drought, flood and conflict-linked triggers.
Counties Reached
47
National coverage with county focal points.
Activations by Region
47 COUNTIES
Northern (Turkana, Marsabit) · 36%
North-Eastern (Wajir, Mandera) · 28%
Eastern (Isiolo, Garissa) · 18%
Coastal (Tana River, Kilifi) · 12%
Rift Valley · 6%
View Full 2024 Overview Report
Strategic Framework

Sevenpillars.

Each pillar addresses a critical component of Kenya's anticipatory action system — from generating forecasts to delivering pre-funded interventions and learning from every cycle.

01
Early Warning
Generating timely, localised and actionable hazard forecasts that drive the AA trigger system.
02
Early Action
Delivering pre-agreed, pre-funded interventions before hazards reach destructive intensity.
03
Coordination & Governance
TWG structures, SOPs, county focal points, and data-sharing protocols.
04
Research, Innovation & Learning
Cost-benefit evidence, technology, academic partnerships, and structured learning cycles.
05
Policy & Advocacy
Embedding AA in Kenya's DRM Act, county frameworks, and sector policies.
06
Financing
Forecast-based financing, contingency funds, parametric insurance, and pooled mechanisms.
07
Monitoring & Evaluation
Real-time dashboards, after-action reviews, impact evaluations and annual learning reviews.
Resources

Expand yourknowledge.

Materials, training resources, advocacy briefs and thematic guidance for practitioners, researchers and county teams.

01 · Fundamentals

What is anticipatory action?

Core concepts and methodologies that explain what anticipatory action is and how it works in practice.

Learn more
02 · Advocacy & Policy

Policy & key messages

Briefs to support promotion of AA, influence decision-making and strengthen cross-sector coordination.

Learn more
03 · Resources

Guidelines & case studies

Practical insights, tools and training materials for implementing anticipatory action in Kenyan contexts.

Learn more
Nairobi Turkana Marsabit Mandera Wajir Garissa
Live Data

Results across
47 counties.

Live tracking of activations, people reached, county coverage and trigger status on Kenya's anticipatory action results dashboard.

Open the AA Dashboard
The Technical Working Group

Our partners.

A multi-stakeholder body bringing government, UN agencies, NGOs and Red Cross/Red Crescent partners together under NDOC leadership.

N
NDOC
Government · Lead
K+
Kenya Red Cross
RC/RC Movement
ND
NDMA
Government
KM
Kenya Met. Department
Government
UN
OCHA Kenya
UN Agency
IF
IFRC / ICRC
RC/RC Movement
WF
WFP Kenya
UN Agency
UC
UNICEF Kenya
UN Agency
FA
FAO Kenya
UN Agency
CG
County Governments
Government
SN
Start Network
NGO Network
IC
ICPAC
Regional
N
NDOC
Government · Lead
K+
Kenya Red Cross
RC/RC Movement
ND
NDMA
Government
KM
Kenya Met. Department
Government
UN
OCHA Kenya
UN Agency
IF
IFRC / ICRC
RC/RC Movement
WF
WFP Kenya
UN Agency
UC
UNICEF Kenya
UN Agency
FA
FAO Kenya
UN Agency
CG
County Governments
Government
SN
Start Network
NGO Network
IC
ICPAC
Regional
From the Field

Latest news & insights.

View All News
Drought · Field Report
Programme Update / 12 May 2026

Wajir activation reaches 38,000 households in 72 hours

The first protocol triggered under the new short-rains framework delivered cash transfers and livestock feed before forage stress reached critical levels — a turnaround unimaginable under traditional response timelines.
Evidence
Research / 04 May 2026

What we learned from the 2024 short-rains cycle

Three priorities for scaling AA across additional ASAL counties in 2026.
Policy
Advocacy / 28 April 2026

AA enters the next phase of Kenya's DRM Act

What changes for county governments and how the TWG is supporting transition.
Join the movement

Get involved with
Kenya's AA programme.

Whether you're a humanitarian organisation, government agency, researcher or donor — the Technical Working Group welcomes new members committed to proactive disaster risk management.

View Membership Contact Secretariat